Sunday, February 12, 2012

StormTrack: Long Range- Active Weather Pattern (2/12/12)

An active weather pattern will continue through likely the rest of the month as we see a deep low pressure system and a deep ridge fight each other in the Pacific.
What will happen is that this deep low pressure system will be shifting around but generally staying in or just west of Alaska. The ridge on the other hand, will be staying pretty much right where it is shown here. The ridge will occasionally be attempting to make a move north into Alaska to push the deep low pressure system away, but the low pressure system will push back, and in the process send out several storm systems that will ride the jet stream into the US. This means that there should be several potential snow-producers in the country over the next few weeks. I have marked the path of where most of the storms should go, with some wiggle room for storms to take a more southern pattern than what I have marked on here.
The point is that I expect to see a lot more chances for snow and severe weather in the next half of February. I am anticipating a battleground of sorts to set up as these storms push through to make for some strong to severe thunderstorm events, namely in MO/AR/TN/KY/MS, as well as some strong storms possibly stretching back into TX/OK.
The line that I have marked is not necessarily the jet stream, as I anticipate it to be more southerly than the line. The point I am getting across with the line is just the possible areas affected by this train of storms.

-Andrew

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

THIS TRACK WON'T PRODUCE ANY SNOW OVER THE OHIO AREA.NEEDS TO BE FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST.

Anonymous said...

Hey Andrew, I'm asking you of a favor. When you release your severe weather outlook for individual towns, can you also put the expected date of the town's first severe warning? I know you can't get it exact, but with your knowledge in long range forecasting, could you provide a sort of "in the ballpark" guess of when? Thanks in advance!

Anonymous said...

When will this major tsunami hit Omaha Nebraska? This weather map is concerning me... I am deathly afraid of a tsunami hitting beautiful Nebraska!

Anonymous said...

HEY ANONYMOUS,THERE IS NOT GOING TO BE A TSUNAMI.YOUR OUT OF YOUR MIND,AND ALSO THAT IS NOT FUNNY AT ALL!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I'M SURE ANDREW WOULD AGREE WITH THIS STATEMAENT.NO WISECRACKS PLEASE.

Anonymous said...

Hey wise guy, I am sorry that I don't know that much about weather. I am telling you though, I really thought a tsunami was going to hit. Now that I did a wee bit of googling, I now know that it is a wave that can't hit is cause there is no water. I always thought a tsunami was a type of severe storm. Again, I am sorry if I am just too stupid to read here. I guess I won't come to this site again so as to not be so stupid.

Andrew said...

Anonymous: That is a science that cannot even be achieved with a ballpark guess. Sorry!

Anonymous #2: I do not agree with the statement. I think it was way too harsh for someone who appears to have misperceived something for some reason. If there is any moderating needed, I can handle it.

Anonymous #3: I apologize on behalf of what happened here- it is not the intention of this blog. I assure you it will not happen again if you do decide to continue commenting.