Thursday, February 24, 2011

Early week storm carries extreme strengths.

A potential storm that would work across the Midwest may have strength rivaling that of the 2011 Blizzard.
Below, we define what tracks are where, and what models are in them.
South Track: Goes through Central Illinois, South Illinois, and areas like.
North Track: Goes through North Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, moving NNE, and areas like.
Models with a South Track: ECMWF, NOGAPS, GEM, DGEX
Models with a North Track: GFS,
Models with other tracks: -

Consensus: The In-House Weather Centre model is giving early indications that this storm may keep more of a northern track. However, the model is very uneasy with this solution and is only beginning to grasp this storm. Stay tuned.



Today's Severe Threat

Below in order, is the risk of winds, hail, tornadoes.



In the interest of time, discussions of this are not going to be issued until tonight.

Forecast Discussion Feb. 24, 2011

Storm did move slightly north as predicted by The Weather Centre.
At this time, current thinking is that the amounts will stand. Short range models are having some troubles with track, so The Weather Centre believes fluctuations of the track are possible.
Overall, track should stay the same.

Snow Maps not able to be issued- description below

Due to timing Snow Maps will not be able to be issued.
However, we do have heaviest snow areas.
-From the SOUTH TIP OF LAKE MICHIGAN EAST AND WEST will be 6''+ of snow.
-Areas on the WEST SIDE OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL RECEIVE UP TO 6''.
-The OHIO VALLEY WILL RECEIVE UP TO 15'' IN THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY. LOWER AMOUNTS SOUTH.