Sunday, March 20, 2011

March 20 Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Forecast Discussion

This is a forecast discussion about a potential significant severe weather outbreak in the Plains in the next 2 days.
(Note: Significant Severe forecast discussions will be issued rarely.)
FORECAST DISCUSSION
Multiple parameters out of the latest Storm Prediction Center SREF model run indicate a significant severe weather event seems on the table Monday into Tuesday.
Because there are so many images I could post, I will only post one and explain.

CRAVEN/BROOKS SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETER
(Significant severe weather usually occurs when values in this parameter exceed 20,000.)
This image is 24 hours out.
As we can see, the Craven/Brooks image indicates there is a strong potential for significant severe storms (2+ inch hail, 65+ knots, EF2+ tornadoes) in this time frame. Should storms develop, I would be extremely concerned about that specific area in Kansas.

We apologize we cannot get more parameters on here, but tomorrow The Weather Centre will have a full write-up ready.
Keep an eye on this situation should you live in Kansas into the Midwest.

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