Saturday, January 29, 2011

Predicted Snowfall Estimates (Feb. 1-3)

GFS: 10-12'' (At least 6'')
ECMWF: 1-3' (At least 6'')
NAM: Following ECMWF (At least 6'')
GEM: 8-12'' (At least 6'')
JMA: 3-5''
NOGAPS: unknown

Model Consensus: JMA model is a strange run, will discount it due to drop in snowfall estimates.
NAM and ECMWF are set on a very strong storm that could allegedly produce up to 3 feet in spots.
The GEM is forecasting 8-12'' and is reportedly trying to move north towards the ECMWF/NAM solution.
GFS solution is the most consistent, but with models and ensembles moving north, it is expected for at least a slight shift north in the GFS track.

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